Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa do Brasil game, scheduled for May 13 at 7:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Mirassol FC (-1.5) | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Mirassol FC (-2.5) | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% YES | 87% NO |
Mirassol FC will face Red Bull Bragantino in a Copa do Brasil fixture on 13 May 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The market currently prices the "More Markets" outcome at 19% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest conviction among traders that additional betting options will be offered for this match. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's liquidity pool, where the spread between bid and ask reflects genuine uncertainty about whether supplementary markets will materialise.
Copa do Brasil matches typically attract extended market coverage on major prediction platforms, particularly when one side features a well-capitalised club like Red Bull Bragantino. Historical precedent suggests that Série A clubs and those with significant sponsorship backing tend to see richer market depth, including secondary and tertiary betting options. However, Mirassol's lower profile in Brazilian football creates asymmetry: markets for smaller clubs often remain limited to core outcomes unless unexpected circumstances—injury to key players, tactical surprises, or media attention—drive trader demand for granular options.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's own operational decisions and any late-stage news regarding squad availability or managerial changes. The settlement window closes 13 May at 23:30 UTC, providing a narrow window for market expansion decisions. Red Bull Bragantino's recent form and any Copa do Brasil rule changes announced before the fixture could influence whether the platform's risk management team deems additional markets justified, directly affecting resolution of this outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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