Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for May 23 at 5:15 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bamin Real Potosí (-1.5) | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Bamin Real Potosí (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
Club Independiente Petrolero will face Bamin Real Potosí on 23 May 2026 in a Bolivia LFPB fixture scheduled for 17:15 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 36% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a roughly two-to-one lean against this resolution path at present. The spread between bid and ask reflects typical liquidity patterns for secondary-market fixtures in Bolivian football, where trading volume tends to concentrate closer to match day.
Independiente Petrolero competes in Bolivia's top division and has demonstrated variable form across recent seasons, whilst Real Potosí operates as a mid-table side with inconsistent results. Historical matchups between clubs of comparable standing in the LFPB show that neutral-venue or away fixtures often settle with wider probability ranges than home games, reflecting genuine uncertainty in outcomes. The 36% probability sits within the range typical for markets where neither side carries strong recent momentum or injury-related advantages.
Traders should monitor official LFPB fixture confirmations and any late team news released in the 48 hours before kick-off. Bolivian football scheduling occasionally experiences delays or relocations due to weather or administrative factors. Real-time updates from LFPB communications channels and local sports outlets will clarify whether the fixture proceeds as scheduled, which directly affects order book positioning and probability shifts on Polymarket's book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Bamin Real Potosí - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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