Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangdong Southern Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Guangdong Southern Tigers". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Chinese Basketball Association matchup between Guangdong Southern Tigers and Guangzhou Loong Lions is scheduled for 3 May at 7:35 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the game will occur and settle to one of the two teams. This extreme confidence in market completion sits at the settlement window's upper bound, closing 10 May at 11:35 UTC.
Comparable CBA fixtures between these Guangdong province rivals have historically proceeded as scheduled, with cancellations or postponements remaining rare events. The Southern Tigers and Loong Lions represent established franchises within China's professional league structure, where fixture integrity is typically maintained despite logistical challenges. The 50-50 resolution clause for complete cancellation has minimal historical precedent in recent seasons, which partly explains why traders are assigning negligible probability to that outcome.
Traders should monitor CBA official announcements regarding venue availability, player health protocols, or scheduling changes in the week preceding the fixture. Recent Chinese sports reporting has not flagged disruptions to the league calendar. The settlement hinges on final score determination including any overtime, with no special conditions affecting scoring rules. Given the seven-day window between scheduled play and market closure, material changes to fixture status remain possible but would require explicit league communication.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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