Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for May 11 at 7:30PM ET: If the Obera TC win, the market will resolve to "Obera TC". If the Boca Juniors win, the market will resolve to "Boca Juniors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Obera TC vs. Boca Juniors | 68% YES | 33% NO |
Obera Taller de Concepción and Boca Juniors will contest a Liga Nacional de Básquet (LNB) match on 11 May at 7:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 58% implied probability for an Obera TC victory, suggesting the market views this as a competitive fixture with a slight lean towards the home side or the team perceived as stronger in this particular matchup.
Boca Juniors enters Argentine basketball fixtures as a historically prominent franchise with consistent playoff appearances and deeper financial resources than most LNB competitors. Obera TC, based in Misiones Province, operates with more modest infrastructure but has demonstrated capacity to compete in the league's middle tier. Historical head-to-head records between these clubs show competitive balance, though Boca's larger roster depth and experience in high-pressure moments have historically favoured them in knockout scenarios. The 58% probability for Obera suggests either home-court advantage is being weighted significantly, or recent form has shifted perception in their favour.
Traders should monitor team roster availability in the week preceding the match, particularly injury status of key players on either side. LNB scheduling occasionally experiences delays due to venue conflicts or administrative issues, which would extend the settlement window beyond the current 18 May deadline. Recent fixture results from both clubs' prior games will clarify momentum heading into this contest. Any official announcements regarding player availability or venue confirmation should be tracked through LNB's official communications channels and Argentine sports press.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Obera TC vs. Boca Juniors" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$975 in lifetime turnover and $388 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $910 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 68%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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