Sports

Trade: AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves

52% YES 48% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for June 2 at 8:00PM ET: If Colorado Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Eagles". If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$2K
Total Volume
$399
24h Volume
$335
Open Interest
$339
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves 52% YES49% NO

Market context

The Colorado Eagles and Chicago Wolves are scheduled to meet in an AHL playoff game on 2 June at 8:00PM ET, with settlement occurring the following day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for a Colorado victory, suggesting modest favouritism despite the Wolves' recent form in the league. This probability is being formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices converges towards market consensus.

Historically, AHL playoff matchups between these franchises have shown competitive balance, with home-ice advantage proving a meaningful but not determinative factor in series outcomes. The Eagles' regular season performance and playoff seeding relative to the Wolves will inform how traders are pricing this particular fixture. Recent AHL playoff results demonstrate that teams with stronger special teams units—particularly penalty-kill efficiency—have outperformed expectations, a dynamic worth monitoring in how the current probability has been established.

Key catalysts for traders include any roster announcements or injury updates released before game time, as the AHL frequently experiences last-minute changes to player availability. Weather conditions affecting travel to the venue and any scheduling adjustments warrant attention, given the settlement window's tight closure on 3 June. The Wolves' recent win-loss record and the Eagles' performance in comparable playoff scenarios will likely drive any significant probability shifts on the order book in the days preceding the match.

Wikipedia Context

  • KRDO-TV
    KRDO-TV

    KRDO-TV is a television station in Colorado Springs, Colorado, United States, affiliated with ABC. It is owned by the News-Press & Gazette Company (NPG) alongside low-power Telemundo affiliate KTLO-LD and radio stations KRDO and KRDO-FM (105.5). The four stations share studios on South 8th Street in Colorado Springs; KRDO-TV's transmitter is located on Cheye

  • Ault, Colorado
    Ault, Colorado

    Ault is a statutory town located in Weld County, Colorado, United States. The town population was 1,887 at the 2020 United States census, a +24.23% increase since the 2010 United States census. Ault is a part of the Greeley, CO Metropolitan Statistical Area and the Front Range Urban Corridor.

  • Mariana Alcoforado
    Mariana Alcoforado

    Sóror Mariana Alcoforado was a Portuguese nun living in the convent of the Poor Clares in Beja, Portugal.

  • ACLU of Colorado

    The American Civil Liberties Union of Colorado is a civil rights organization in the United States, and it is the Colorado affiliate of the American Civil Liberties Union.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 52% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $192 if YES resolves true — a 92% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$399 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $335 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 52%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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