Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by June 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills (the resolution date has passed — final payout is being settled via UMA oracle), backed by $7.6M of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chris Kirk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| John Parry | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Michael Brennan | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Michael Kim | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Charles Schwab Challenge takes place in May 2026 at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, as part of the PGA Tour's regular season schedule. The market resolves affirmatively if the specified player finishes within the top ten positions, including ties, at the conclusion of the tournament. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 56% implied probability, suggesting moderate confidence in a top-ten finish, though this varies considerably depending on the individual player in question and their recent form.
Historical performance at Colonial provides meaningful context for evaluating this probability. The course has hosted the Charles Schwab Challenge since 2019, and player consistency at the venue differs markedly from season to season. Players with strong records at Colonial—particularly those who favour tight fairways and precise iron play—have demonstrated higher top-ten conversion rates than their season averages would suggest. A 56% probability sits between baseline expectations for a mid-field PGA Tour regular and a player with established form at this specific venue.
Traders should monitor several developments before the May 2026 tournament window. Injury reports and player availability announcements typically emerge in the weeks preceding the event, whilst recent tournament results and world ranking movements will signal current form. The PGA Tour's official schedule confirmation and any course condition updates closer to May will also influence positioning. The settlement deadline of 31 May 2026 provides a tight window for final results publication, with the market resolving to "No" if official PGA Tour results remain unavailable by 8 June.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.pgatour.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 31 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.pgatour.com/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 10", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($7.6M of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 10" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$47K in lifetime turnover and $7.6M of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $17K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.pgatour.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 10", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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