Trade: Serie A: Most Assists
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Serie A season. Only assists recorded in Serie A matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Supercup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $10K
- Total Volume
- $22K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $3K
Market outcomes
| Other | — | |
| Federico Dimarco | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Kenan Yildiz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player B | — | |
| Player E | — | |
| Player G | — | |
| Rodriguez Caraballo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Nicolò Barella | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The 2025-26 Serie A season will determine which player records the most league assists across the campaign, running until the settlement window closes on 1 June 2026. Only assists in Serie A fixtures count; contributions in domestic cups, European competitions, and international matches are excluded. Should multiple players finish level on assists, alphabetical ordering of surnames determines the resolution. The market currently shows no live pricing on Polymarket's order book, meaning the crowd has not yet crystallised an implied probability for any individual candidate.
Historical Serie A assist leaders offer a baseline for evaluating likely contenders. Over the past five seasons, the assist crown has typically gone to creative midfielders or attacking full-backs operating in top-six sides, with annual totals ranging from 10 to 15 assists in a 38-match campaign. Players like Matteo Darmian, Sergej Milinković-Savić, and Juan Cuadrado have featured prominently in recent seasons, though injury, tactical shifts, and managerial changes reshape the landscape annually. The concentration of assists among a small cohort of elite playmakers means early price formation will likely reflect squad stability and pre-season form.
Traders should monitor summer transfer activity closely, particularly arrivals and departures at Juventus, Inter Milan, and AC Milan. Managerial appointments and tactical adjustments—especially any shift towards more attacking football—will influence assist opportunities. Injury news during the season will be critical; a key playmaker's absence can dramatically alter the distribution of chances. Fixture congestion and European competition depth for Italian clubs may also affect player availability and performance levels across the campaign.
Wikipedia Context
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Progression of the most expensive transfer in Serie A
The following list shows the chronological progression of the most expensive transfer in the history of the Serie A. All the buying teams are Italian.
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Serie Monumental
The Serie Monumental was an international club baseball tournament held in Venezuela in late 1945–46. It saw a team of all-stars from the American Negro leagues play their opposites in the Venezuelan League. The series, played only once, was the immediate precursor to the 1946–50 Interamerican Series, and by extension, to the modern Caribbean Series.
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Serge MoscoviciSerge Moscovici born Srul Herș Moscovici, was a Romanian-born French social psychologist, director of the Laboratoire Européen de Psychologie Sociale, which he co-founded in 1974 at the Maison des sciences de l'homme in Paris. He was a member of the European Academy of Sciences and Arts and Commander of the Legion of Honour, as well as a member of the Russia
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Serge MoatiSerge Moati is a French journalist, television presenter, film director and writer. He is the brother of Nine Moati, author of the novel Les Belles de Tunis. As is his sister, Serge Moati is a French citizen, with Tunisian-Jewish origins. He is the father of the actor Félix Moati.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://en.legaseriea.it/serie-a/statistiche/giocatori. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Serie A: Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$22K in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for serie a contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://en.legaseriea.it/serie-a/statistiche/giocatori. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Serie A: Most Assists"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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