Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who wins the Emerging Player of the Season award for the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by IPL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills with 5 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $7.6M of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kartik Sharma | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sameer Rizvi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ashok Sharma | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Manav Suthar | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kartik Tyagi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Prince Yadav | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Krish Bhagat | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Priyansh Arya | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Indian Premier League's 2026 season will conclude with the awarding of the Emerging Player of the Season, recognising the best-performing player aged 25 or under across the tournament. This award has historically gone to players who combine consistent performances with significant impact during the season, often those who break through from domestic cricket into IPL prominence. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the absence of any active trading interest or committed liquidity at present, a common state for markets settling over a year away where price discovery remains minimal.
Historical precedent suggests the award typically goes to a player with 400+ runs or 15+ wickets across the season, though the selection committee retains discretion. Previous winners have included players like Riyan Parag and Yashasvi Jaiswal, who demonstrated both technical skill and match-winning contributions. The 0% probability should be read as reflecting market thinness rather than genuine conviction that no award will be given; similar markets tend to see meaningful price formation only as the tournament approaches and squad announcements clarify which emerging talents will feature.
Traders should monitor IPL squad announcements in early 2026, which will identify eligible young players and their franchise placements. The tournament schedule and injury updates throughout the season will drive material shifts in relative valuations. Settlement depends on official IPL confirmation by 20 June 2026, with the award typically announced shortly after the final match.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
For this market, the resolution date is 6 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. This particular market has no public resolution feed listed; disputes here are more likely if the underlying outcome is subject to interpretation, in which case the UMA token-vote arbitrates the wording of the original market question.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "IPL: 2026 Emerging Player of the Season", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($7.6M of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "IPL: 2026 Emerging Player of the Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$29K in lifetime turnover and $7.6M of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for rewards 50 4pt5 20 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "IPL: 2026 Emerging Player of the Season", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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