Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Jacob Elordi or Kendall Jenner or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30? | 11% YES | 89% NO |
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner would need to publicly confirm a romantic relationship through direct statements or official representatives by the end of June 2026 for this market to resolve affirmatively. The pair have not been publicly linked romantically, though both move within overlapping entertainment and fashion circles. Confirmation requires explicit acknowledgement from either party or their representatives—casual speculation or paparazzi photographs would not suffice under the market's settlement criteria.
Celebrity relationship confirmations typically occur through calculated public statements rather than accidental disclosure. Comparable cases suggest that when high-profile figures do confirm relationships, they often do so via joint social media posts, red carpet appearances together, or formal statements to media outlets. The 11% implied probability reflected on Polymarket's order book suggests traders assess a low but non-negligible chance of confirmation within the 18-month window. This baseline reflects both the absence of current public connection between the two and the general unpredictability of celebrity relationship timelines.
Traders should monitor entertainment news outlets and the pair's social media activity for any indication of proximity or collaboration. Elordi's recent film projects and Jenner's ongoing modelling commitments and public appearances will shape opportunities for potential connection. The extended settlement window to mid-2026 provides substantial time for circumstances to shift, though no current reporting suggests imminent romantic involvement between them.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$55 in lifetime turnover and $42 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for pop culture contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 11%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: