Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Background Art at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| The Apothecary Diaries Season 2 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| CITY THE ANIMATION | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| DAN DA DAN Season 2 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Kowloon Generic Romance | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Show A | — | |
| Show B | — | |
| Show C | — | |
| Show D | — | |
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards will take place on 23 May 2026 in Japan, with the Best Background Art category recognising visual craftsmanship in animation production. This award typically honours series demonstrating exceptional environmental design, colour theory, and compositional detail across full seasons or standout arcs. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability, suggesting meaningful uncertainty about which title will prevail among the eligible nominees.
Historical precedent indicates that Best Background Art voting tends to favour visually ambitious productions from established studios with strong track records in digital painting and landscape work. Previous Crunchyroll Awards have seen wins distributed across multiple studios, though productions with theatrical film releases or prestige backing have performed consistently well. The category rewards technical execution rather than narrative prominence, which can create divergence from more popular voting categories. Current probability positioning suggests traders view the field as genuinely competitive rather than dominated by a clear frontrunner.
Key catalysts include the official nominee announcement, typically occurring in early 2026, which will clarify the competitive set and allow assessment of each title's visual credentials. Traders should monitor Crunchyroll's official communications and industry coverage from outlets tracking anime production schedules. The final broadcast on 23 May represents the hard resolution date, with alphabetical ordering applying only in the unlikely event of a tie or administrative delay past 30 June 2026. Interim market movement will likely correlate with nominee reveals and any critical reception shifts for major contenders.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Background Art Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$131 in lifetime turnover and $27 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for pop culture contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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