Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| <$1.00 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $1.00-$2.00 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $2.00-$3.00 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $3.00-$4.00 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| $4.00-$5.00 | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| $5.00-$6.00 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| $6.00-$7.00 | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| $7.00-$8.00 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Opendoor Technologies will close trading on Friday, 6 June 2025, and this market settles on the official closing price for that session. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability across all price brackets, indicating either minimal liquidity in this particular contract or a lack of trader conviction in establishing positions ahead of the settlement window. This absence of probability mass across the range suggests the market has not yet attracted sufficient participation to form meaningful price discovery.
Opendoor's stock performance has been shaped by broader real estate market dynamics, mortgage rate expectations, and the company's quarterly earnings announcements. Historical precedent shows that iBuying platforms experience volatility tied to housing inventory levels, transaction volumes, and capital availability. The week of 1 June 2025 falls outside typical earnings seasons for the company, which typically reports in February, May, and August, reducing the likelihood of major fundamental catalysts during the settlement window itself.
Traders monitoring this contract should track any macroeconomic data releases affecting housing sentiment in early June, including potential mortgage rate movements or housing starts data. Opendoor's operational announcements regarding market expansion or capital raises could also influence positioning. The 0% probability reading suggests either that traders are awaiting additional information before committing capital, or that the bracket structure itself may not align with expected price action. Liquidity conditions on the order book will determine whether meaningful positions can be established as the settlement date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of Jun 1 at 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $52K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for open contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $451 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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