Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Usyk" if Oleksandr Usyk is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rico Verhoeven, at Glory in Giza, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at The Pyramids of Giza in Giza, Egypt. It will resolve to "Rico" if Rico Verhoeven is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Matchroom Boxing (https://www.matchroomboxing.com/).
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 93%, making this a high-confidence market with 2 days to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes, backed by $120K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | 93% YES | 8% NO |
Oleksandr Usyk is scheduled to fight Rico Verhoeven on 23 May at the Pyramids of Giza in Egypt, with the market resolving to Usyk only if he is officially declared the winner by Matchroom Boxing. With Polymarket’s order book currently pricing a 93% YES probability, the market is signalling a strong consensus that Usyk wins, while still leaving a small tail for Verhoeven, a draw, or a no-contest-style outcome. In practical terms, that implied price reflects both the headline mismatch and the fact that the market is binary on the official decision, not on perceived dominance.
The current probability should be read against the wider pattern in crossover and one-off heavyweight bouts, where the favourite often trades very short right up to fight night, but late movement can still come from weighing-in, judging expectations, or any change to the bout status. ESPN reported that ring-walk times had not yet been announced, with the main card expected to start around 5 p.m. BST and the event staged just outside Cairo, one hour ahead of BST. Traders should watch for Matchroom’s official announcements on bout start times, any undercard delays, and any change to the scheduled format or title terms, since the market’s settlement depends entirely on the official result rather than round-by-round narrative.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
For this market, the resolution date is 24 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. This particular market has no public resolution feed listed; disputes here are more likely if the underlying outcome is subject to interpretation, in which case the UMA token-vote arbitrates the wording of the original market question.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. At the current YES price of 93%, a $500 stake on YES buys roughly 538 shares; if YES resolves true those shares pay out at $1.00 each (a $538 gross payout, or +$38 profit). If NO resolves, the shares are worth $0. Slippage tolerance and resting-order depth determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$143K in lifetime turnover and $120K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for oleksandr usyk contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $143K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 93%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: