Resolution criteria on PolyGram: "The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Homelander | 79% YES | 21% NO |
| Frenchie | 92% YES | 8% NO |
| Kimiko Miyashiro | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Mother's Milk | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Ryan Butcher | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Soldier Boy | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Billy Butcher | 87% YES | 14% NO |
| Annie January (Starlight) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
The Boys Season 5 will air weekly from 8 April through 20 May 2026, with this market assessing whether a specified character dies during the final season. Death must be shown on screen or clearly confirmed through dialogue, funeral scenes, or other explicit narrative confirmation. The 71% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial crowd conviction that a character fatality will occur, though the specific character in question determines the resolution outcome.
The show's previous four seasons have established a pattern of significant character deaths, particularly among antagonists and morally compromised figures. Homelander, Butcher, and other central characters have narrowly survived multiple seasons despite severe injuries and terminal diagnoses, suggesting the series reserves major deaths for narrative climax moments. The show's creator Eric Kripke has indicated Season 5 will conclude the series, historically a point where showrunners resolve character arcs through permanent deaths. Comparable superhero ensemble finales—such as The Expanse and Invincible—typically feature multiple significant character deaths to provide narrative closure.
Traders should monitor official cast announcements and episode descriptions released by Amazon Prime Video in the weeks preceding the 8 April premiere, as unexpected character absences often signal off-screen deaths. Promotional materials and interviews with cast members may inadvertently reveal which characters survive to the finale. The settlement window closes immediately upon the finale's broadcast on 20 May, leaving no grace period for post-episode clarifications or supplementary materials that might affect resolution.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$347K in lifetime turnover and $30K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for movies contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $14K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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