Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who wins the award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hamoud Abu Hassoun as Loid Forger (Childhood) (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Moataz El—Shazly as Heisuke Mashimo (SAKAMOTO DAYS) | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Raafat Bazo as Yuri Briar (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Fatima Zakaria as Osaragi (SAKAMOTO DAYS) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Person A | — | |
| Person B | — | |
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards will take place in Japan on 23 May 2026, with the Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) category among those being decided. This award recognises excellence in Arabic-language voice acting for anime productions. The current order book on Polymarket prices this specific winner at 10% implied probability, reflecting substantial uncertainty about which voice artist will ultimately receive the accolade.
The Arabic voice acting category for anime remains relatively niche within the broader awards ecosystem, with limited historical precedent for predicting outcomes. Previous Crunchyroll Awards ceremonies have seen competitive voting across regional voice acting categories, though Arabic-language dubbing represents a smaller subset of the global anime audience compared to English, Japanese, or Spanish markets. The low implied probability suggests the market is pricing in either a broad field of credible candidates or limited public information about frontrunners at this stage.
Key catalysts will include the official announcement of nominees, expected several months before the May ceremony, and any industry coverage of Arabic dubbing trends in anime. Crunchyroll typically releases nomination lists on its official channels and website. The settlement window closes on 30 June 2026, providing a buffer beyond the awards date for official confirmation. Traders should monitor Crunchyroll's communications regarding category eligibility and voting procedures, as well as any regional anime industry reporting that might signal momentum behind particular voice artists in the Arabic-speaking markets.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for movies contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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