Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Gachiakuta | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow- | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Show B | — | |
| Show D | — | |
| Show F | — | |
| Show H | — | |
| Show J | — | |
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards ceremony will take place in Japan on 23 May 2026, with the Best Action Anime category representing one of the platform's most competitive annual honours. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 40% implied probability for the listed title, suggesting moderate confidence relative to other contenders in what remains an open field with roughly eighteen months until the event. This probability sits at a midpoint between strong favourites and longer-shot candidates, indicating meaningful uncertainty about which action series will capture voter preference by the ceremony date.
Historical precedent from prior Crunchyroll Awards cycles shows that Best Action Anime voting patterns favour titles with sustained viewership momentum, strong international appeal, and recognition within the anime production community. Recent winners have typically been series that aired or concluded within the twelve months preceding the awards, giving prominence to recency and cultural relevance. The 40% probability suggests the listed title ranks among the leading contenders but faces genuine competition from other action properties likely to release or gain prominence during 2025 and early 2026.
Key catalysts for traders include announcements of competing action anime titles scheduled for 2025–2026, any major production delays or cancellations affecting the competitive landscape, and official voting eligibility criteria released by Crunchyroll. The ceremony's broadcast on 23 May 2026 serves as the hard resolution date, with settlement occurring immediately thereafter based on official Crunchyroll announcements. Traders should monitor industry publications covering anime releases and award speculation as the ceremony approaches, particularly from January 2026 onwards when voter sentiment typically crystallises.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Action Anime Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for movies contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $33 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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