Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Panama and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
Panama and Bosnia and Herzegovina will contest a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 47% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting the combined likelihood of all discrete scorelines listed as explicit settlement options. Any result not matching a pre-specified outcome resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures 15–25% of probability mass in football friendlies given the wide distribution of possible final scores.
Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between nations of comparable FIFA ranking produce high variance in scorelines. Panama currently ranks around 80th globally whilst Bosnia and Herzegovina sits near 60th; friendlies between sides in this tier range frequently end 1–1, 1–0, or 2–1, though scoreless draws and higher-scoring affairs occur regularly. The 47% probability assigned to exact scores reflects typical market fragmentation across multiple outcomes rather than confidence in any single result. Comparable friendly fixtures settle to "Any Other Score" roughly 20–30% of the time, suggesting the remaining probability is distributed across perhaps eight to twelve specific scorelines.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations as the fixture approaches, particularly injury updates affecting key attacking players. Friendly matches scheduled during international windows occasionally shift dates or venues with limited notice. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on 6 June, allowing roughly four hours post-match for confirmation of the final score before resolution.
Pan-Amazonian Ecclesial Network is a network with a thousand organizations from the Amazon "to create a development model that privileges the poor and serves the common good".
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$212 in lifetime turnover and $104 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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