Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast scheduled for 2026-05-28 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sierra Leone will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Sierra Leone. The outcome corresponding to Ivory Coast will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Ivory Coast.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SLE10 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IVO3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa qualifier match on 28 May 2026, with this market tracking which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that a Sierra Leone player will record the top individual score. This extreme probability suggests either substantial confidence in Sierra Leone's batting depth relative to Ivory Coast, or potentially limited liquidity creating wide spreads that haven't yet attracted contrarian positions.
T20 cricket's format creates high variance in individual performances, with opening batters and middle-order players frequently posting match-high scores regardless of overall team strength. Historical qualifier matches in African regional tournaments show that top individual scores typically range between 35–65 runs, with outcomes heavily dependent on pitch conditions, bowling quality, and specific player form on the day. The 100% probability pricing appears disconnected from typical T20 volatility, suggesting the market may be reflecting incomplete information about squad composition or recent player availability rather than fundamental match dynamics.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the fixture date, particularly regarding injury status and recent form of key batters from both nations. Weather forecasts for the venue will influence pitch behaviour and scoring patterns. Polymarket's order book depth will determine whether the current extreme probability persists or whether additional liquidity reveals more balanced pricing as match day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$264 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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