Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Malaysia and China scheduled for May 6 2026 in T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China - Who wins the toss? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Malaysia and China will contest a women's T20 match on 6 May 2026 as part of the Hong Kong Tri-Series. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating traders are pricing this fixture as certain to occur and resolve to a definitive winner. This extreme probability typically emerges when a match is scheduled within a confirmed tournament structure with established venues and governing bodies, leaving minimal uncertainty about whether play will take place.
Women's T20 cricket between these nations has limited recent competitive history at the bilateral level, making direct precedent scarce for calibrating win probabilities. However, both teams participate in ICC-affiliated tournaments and regional competitions, providing baseline form data. China's women's cricket programme has expanded considerably in recent years, though Malaysia remains the more established side in regional T20 formats. The current 100% YES reading reflects confidence in match execution rather than a directional prediction on the outcome itself.
Key catalysts for traders include confirmation of squad announcements closer to May 2026, any weather advisories for Hong Kong during that period, and injury updates to key players from either side. Tournament scheduling changes or venue alterations could theoretically affect settlement, though the tri-series format suggests fixture stability. Traders should monitor ESPNcricinfo for official team selections and any administrative updates from the Hong Kong Cricket Association, as these will provide concrete data points for reassessing the probability once the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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