What is the current probability for "Crint Bgd3 Nld4 2026 05 31 Most Sixes"?

As of 2 June 2026, the market probability on PolyGram is available on PolyGram. Trade on this outcome at polygram.ink.

Games

Trade: T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Most Sixes

Q: What happens when the market resolves?

Winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon with a two-hour dispute window before payouts are distributed automatically.

Opened 30 May 2026 · Settles 7 June 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Netherlands scheduled for 2026-05-31 in T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if Bangladesh is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Netherlands.The outcome corresponding to Netherlands will be considered correct if Netherlands is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bangladesh. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

BGD3	100% YES	0% NO
Draw	0% YES	100% NO
NLD4	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Bangladesh and Netherlands will contest a Women's T20 match on 31 May 2026 as part of the Scotland Tri-Series. The market concerns which team will strike more sixes during the encounter, with settlement based on official ESPN Cricinfo statistics. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome for one side, though the market description does not specify which team the consensus favours.

Historical Women's T20 data suggests Bangladesh typically out-hits opponents in six-hitting frequency, particularly in tri-series formats where aggressive batting is incentivised. Netherlands women's cricket has developed considerably in recent years but remains less established in power-hitting metrics compared to South Asian sides. Previous encounters between these nations in limited-overs formats provide reference points, though squad composition and form fluctuate significantly between tournament iterations.

Key variables for traders include squad announcements closer to the match date, which will clarify whether either team has injury concerns affecting their batting line-up. Weather conditions in Scotland in late May—particularly wind direction and cloud cover—can materially affect six-hitting potential. The tri-series format itself matters; if Bangladesh faces a fixture immediately before this match, fatigue could suppress their hitting intensity. Polymarket's order book will likely shift once official team sheets are published, typically 24 hours before play.

Wikipedia Context

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The Scotland Yard Gospel Choir is an American indie pop band from Chicago.
The Scotland Yard Mystery
The Scotland Yard Mystery is a 1934 British crime film directed by Thomas Bentley and starring Sir Gerald du Maurier, George Curzon, Grete Natzler, Belle Chrystall and Wally Patch. The screenplay concerns a criminal doctor who operates a racket claiming life insurance by injecting victims with a life suspending serum turning them into living dead. The film i
The Herald (Glasgow)
The Herald is a Scottish broadsheet newspaper founded in 1783. The Herald is the longest running national newspaper in the world and is the eighth oldest daily paper in the world. The title was simplified from The Glasgow Herald in 1992. Following the closure of the Sunday Herald, the Herald on Sunday was launched as a Sunday edition on 9 September 2018.
Trustee Savings Bank
The Trustee Savings Bank (TSB) was a British financial institution that operated between 1810 and 1995 when it was merged with Lloyds Bank. Trustee savings banks originated to accept savings deposits from those with moderate means. Their shares were not traded on the stock market but, unlike mutually held building societies, depositors had no voting rights;

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Most Sixes"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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