Trade: Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Austria and Jordan, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Austria vs. Jordan match originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- $25
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $25
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June. The market is pricing an exact scoreline at 5% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the specificity required: not merely a win or loss, but a precise final tally across 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Exact score markets typically concentrate probability mass on the most common outcomes—1–0, 2–1, 1–1—whilst rarer scorelines remain thinly traded and expensive relative to their statistical likelihood.
Austria qualified for the 2022 World Cup and reached the knockout stages of Euro 2020, establishing itself as a mid-tier European side capable of competitive group-stage performances. Jordan, by contrast, has never qualified for a World Cup and will be making its debut in 2026 following qualification through the AFC pathway. Historical precedent suggests matches between established European nations and first-time World Cup qualifiers from Asia tend toward decisive margins; Austria's expected superiority in possession, technical execution and set-piece delivery creates asymmetry that favours higher-scoring Austrian victories or comfortable single-goal wins.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding Austria's attacking depth and Jordan's defensive personnel. Recent FIFA rankings and qualifying-round goal differentials will provide calibration for expected output. The settlement window closes at 04:00 UTC on 17 June, immediately after the match concludes, leaving no room for late-breaking information to alter pricing once trading halts.
Wikipedia Context
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Foreign relations of JordanThe foreign relations of Jordan have been consistently a pro-Western foreign policy.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$25 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for fifa world cup contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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