Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between FUT Esports and Team Heretics in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Team Heretics. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $509K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: TH (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FUT Esports are due to meet Team Heretics in the VCT EMEA lower-bracket final, a best-of-five with a place in the next stage at stake. The current 10% YES price on Polymarket reflects the live order book rather than a simple consensus figure, so it can move quickly as traders react to lineup confirmation, map veto expectations and any shift in competitive context before start time. With settlement due after the match window closes later today, the market is effectively pricing the chance of a FUT win against a team it has recently struggled to beat.
Recent comparable results point towards Heretics being the stronger historical reference. Bo3 and VLR match pages both show Heretics winning the most recent head-to-heads, including a 2-0 group-stage sweep earlier in the split, and one listing notes FUT had dropped 14 straight maps against them before this series. That kind of record usually leaves a short-price favourite on the opposite side and makes a low single-digit to low-teens price on the underdog plausible if the market expects map-pool pressure and better recent form to hold up. The main reason the price is not lower is the BO5 format, which gives FUT more chances to lean into comfort picks and extend the series.
Traders should watch for confirmed vetoes, any delay to the scheduled broadcast, and whether the lower-bracket final is actually played to completion, as those factors affect both the in-play line and, if necessary, settlement. The most relevant recent source is the live match coverage on bo3.gg and the VLR.gg match page, which both list the fixture as a May 16 BO5 and show the current series context. Any last-minute roster change, pause in broadcast scheduling, or bracket adjustment would matter more than historical form because this market is being formed in real time from the matching bids and offers on Polymarket.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 16 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Disputed resolutions are rare — fewer than 0.5% of PolyGram markets in 2026 to date — and even rarer for events with clear, verifiable resolution sources.
Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. From there, withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Your slippage tolerance and the depth of resting limit orders determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$297K in lifetime turnover and $509K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $297K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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