Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between FlyQuest RED and SwimTrek Blue in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest RED" if FlyQuest RED win the match against SwimTrek Blue. This market will resolve to "SwimTrek Blue" if SwimTrek Blue win the match against FlyQuest RED. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: SWIM (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
FlyQuest RED and SwimTrek Blue meet in the upper bracket final of the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 3 June at 22:00 UTC. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket final. This represents the penultimate stage of the regional qualifying tournament for Valorant's international Game Changers circuit, where both teams compete in the women's professional division.
The current 30% implied probability for FlyQuest RED reflects their historical standing relative to SwimTrek Blue within the North American Game Changers ecosystem. FlyQuest RED has established itself as a consistent playoff contender, though SwimTrek Blue has demonstrated stronger recent form and consistency in regular season play. Comparable upper bracket finals in this circuit typically favour the team with superior seeding and recent tournament results, which SwimTrek Blue possesses. The probability distribution suggests market participants view this as a moderately favourable matchup for SwimTrek Blue, though not overwhelmingly so.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 3 June, as player availability directly impacts competitive performance in high-stakes matches. Patch notes released by Riot Games in the weeks preceding the match could shift agent viability and team preparation strategies. The settlement window extends to 4 June at 03:00 UTC, allowing for scheduling delays up to seven days. Any cancellation, tie result, or match that begins but remains unresolved beyond this window triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk that the current order book pricing may not fully account for.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$38 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $31 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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