Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 22% YES | 79% NO |
Team WE will face Anyone's Legend in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LPL Group Ascend competition on 13 May at 07:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for Team WE's victory, suggesting near-parity between the two sides in the eyes of active traders. This tight pricing indicates genuine uncertainty about the outcome, with neither squad commanding substantial confidence from the market.
Team WE competes as an established LPL franchise with historical pedigree, though the organisation has experienced variable performance across recent seasons. Anyone's Legend represents a newer or secondary roster entry within the LPL structure. Historical matchups between established and emerging LPL teams show considerable variance depending on roster composition, recent form, and preparation depth. The 51% mark reflects traders pricing in Team WE's organisational experience whilst acknowledging Anyone's Legend's potential to compete effectively in a single series.
Traders should monitor LPL official announcements regarding final roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments in the days preceding the match. Player availability, recent scrim results, and patch timing relative to the competition date will influence pre-match sentiment. The settlement window closes at 17:00 ET on 13 May, providing a seven-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Any postponement beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a discrete risk event that could shift current positioning if scheduling disruptions emerge.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$249 in lifetime turnover and $102K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $40 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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