Trade: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $7K
- Total Volume
- $114
- 24h Volume
- $114
- Open Interest
- $90
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LCK's opening rounds on 16 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 61% implied probability for BNK FEARX victory, suggesting the market views them as moderate favourites. This probability has formed through live trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are currently willing to transact.
Historical LCK matchups between organisations of comparable tier show that early-season fixtures often carry elevated uncertainty relative to mid-season play, where team form stabilises. BNK FEARX's recent roster composition and Nongshim Red Force's strategic adjustments heading into 2026 will be material to how the 61% probability holds. Early LCK rounds typically feature teams still calibrating their meta reads and champion pools, which can produce results that diverge from pre-season expectations.
Traders should monitor official LCK scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements through to the settlement window closing on 16 May at 16:00 UTC. Patch changes deployed before the match date, injury or visa-related absences, and live broadcast confirmations will all influence whether the fixture proceeds as scheduled. The seven-day grace period for delays means matches rescheduled within that window still resolve to a winner, whereas cancellations or indefinite postponements trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Wikipedia Context
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Los BukisLos Bukis were a Mexican grupero band. Formed in Ario de Rosales, Michoacán in 1973, the band's best-known lineup consisted of Marco Antonio Solís, Joel Solís, Roberto Guadarrama, Eusebio "El Chivo" Cortés, Jose "Pepe" Guadarrama, Pedro Sánchez and José Javier Solís.
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Los BunkersLos Bunkers is an alternative rock band from Concepción, Chile, formed in 1999 by brothers Álvaro and Gonzalo López, Mauricio Basualto, and brothers Francisco and Mauricio Durán.
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Lola B2K/10The Lola B2K/10 was a Le Mans Prototype developed in 2000 by Lola Cars International for use in the 24 Hours of Le Mans, American Le Mans Series, Grand American Road Racing Championship, and Sports Racing World Cup. It was a replacement for the previous Lola B98/10 and shared some elements with its smaller variant, the Lola B2K/40.
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Lola B2K/00
The Lola B2K/00 is an open-wheel racing car chassis, designed and built by Lola Cars that competed in the CART open-wheel racing series, for competition in the 2000 season.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$114 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $114 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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