Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 80% YES | 20% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 37% YES | 63% NO |
FlyQuest and Team Liquid will contest the lower bracket semifinal of the 2026 LCS Playoffs in a best-of-five series, with the winner advancing to the lower bracket final. The match is scheduled for 4:00 PM ET on 6 June. The current order book on Polymarket prices FlyQuest at 52 per cent implied probability, reflecting near-parity between the two rosters heading into the fixture.
Both organisations have experienced volatile performances throughout the 2026 regular season, making historical precedent somewhat unreliable for calibrating expectations. FlyQuest finished the regular season with a 10–8 record whilst Team Liquid posted 9–9, suggesting marginal differences in consistency. Previous lower bracket matchups between these teams have typically favoured the higher seed, though the LCS has seen sufficient upsets in recent years that seeding alone does not determine outcomes. The 52–48 split on the order book reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a decisive favourite, consistent with how comparable mid-table playoff encounters have been priced.
Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 4:00 PM ET start time, particularly regarding support or jungle positions where recent LCS teams have experienced mid-season adjustments. Schedule delays are possible given prior technical issues in LCS broadcasts, though the settlement window extends to 2 June at 02:00 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer. Any official announcements from Riot Games regarding format changes or postponements would materially shift the order book pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $15K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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