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LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 — Match Prediction & Odds

LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth
League Of Legends · 28 May 2026

Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and BNK FearX Youth in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 28 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against BNK FearX Youth. This market will resolve to "BNK FearX Youth" if BNK FearX Youth win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $641K of resting liquidity.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$641K
Total Volume
$302K
24h Volume
$300K
Open Interest
$206K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Match Winner 100% YES0% NO
Game 1 Winner 0% YES100% NO
Game 2 Winner 100% YES0% NO
O/U 2.5 Games 100% YES0% NO
Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5) 0% YES100% NO
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 1% YES100% NO
Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% YES1% NO
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 1% YES100% NO

Market context

Kiwoom DRX Challengers face BNK FearX Youth in a best-of-three League of Legends match within South Korea's LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 28 May at 1:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices DRX Challengers at 35 per cent implied probability, suggesting the market views BNK FearX Youth as the favoured side. This valuation reflects the relative strength assessments traders have formed based on available roster information and recent performance data from the Challengers circuit.

The LCK Challengers League serves as a developmental pathway where academy and secondary rosters compete; historical precedent shows that teams with stronger institutional backing—such as those affiliated with established LCK organisations—often perform above expectations in these tournaments. DRX's parent organisation has resources to support their challenger squad, though the youth team designation for BNK suggests a potentially less experienced lineup. Comparable matchups in the Challengers League have frequently favoured teams with deeper practice infrastructure and scrim access.

Traders should monitor official LCK announcements regarding any roster changes or substitutions before the settlement window closes on 28 May at 11:00 AM ET. Schedule adherence remains critical; any postponement beyond seven days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution per market rules. Recent esports scheduling has occasionally faced delays due to venue or technical issues, though the LCK typically maintains fixture integrity. Confirmation of both teams' final lineups and any last-minute coaching adjustments would provide material information for position adjustments.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lckclchallengersleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

Settlement window & payout timing

For this market, the resolution date is 28 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .

If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/lckclchallengersleague), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.

Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.

Trading mechanics

Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.

The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($641K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.

PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$302K in lifetime turnover and $641K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.

Last 24 hours alone saw $300K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
This market's resolution criterion
For "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Ro", the resolution criterion is: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and BNK FearX Youth in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 28 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX…

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lckclchallengersleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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