Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 22 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against DN SOOPers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
DN SOOPers and Kiwoom DRX are scheduled to play a best-of-three in LCK Rounds 1-2, with the market set to resolve on the match result if both teams complete the series. The current 50% implied probability on Polymarket is being formed by the live order book rather than a fixed price: bids and offers are balanced, so the market is effectively treating this as a near coin flip. For a trading read, that usually signals either uncertainty about relative team strength or a lack of decisive information being priced in before first map draft.
Recent comparable pricing has leaned towards Kiwoom DRX in outside bookmaker and preview commentary, with Esportbet describing them as clear favourites ahead of the fixture, though not by a margin that would make an upset surprising. In LCK best-of-threes, short-form volatility is material: a single draft edge, lane mismatch or early objective swing can change series outcomes quickly, especially when both sides are in the early rounds of the split and roster form is still being established. Past LCK markets at similar levels have tended to move sharply once line-ups and patch context are confirmed.
The main catalysts today are simple but time-sensitive: final team sheets, any last-minute roster or health updates, and confirmation that the series starts on schedule within the settlement window. Polymarket pricing can shift quickly if pre-match information lands close to lock, particularly if one side has a substitute or if schedule changes affect whether the contest is played at all. Sofascore lists the match for 22 May at 08:00 UTC, while the market itself allows for a 50-50 settlement if the game is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 22 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/lck), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.4M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.4M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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