Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 8 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers are scheduled to play a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LCK Challengers League on 8 May 2026 at 01:00 ET. The LCK Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier for South Korean League of Legends, feeding talent to the main LCK division. Both organisations field academy or challenger rosters in this competition, which typically features consistent scheduling and reliable match completion rates.
The 0% implied probability reflects either an absence of trading activity or a technical issue with market initialisation, rather than genuine certainty about match cancellation. LCK Challengers matches have historically maintained high completion rates with minimal postponements or cancellations. Comparable esports prediction markets on established regional leagues show resolution to "5" (no contest) occurring in fewer than 2% of cases, typically only when organisational crises or force majeure events intervene.
Traders should monitor the official LCK schedule and Dplus KIA or KT Rolster social media channels for any roster announcements or scheduling changes in the days preceding the match. The settlement window closes at 11:10 UTC on 8 May, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for match completion. Any delay extending beyond 15 May would trigger resolution to "5" under the market terms, though such delays remain uncommon in the LCK ecosystem.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$120K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $79K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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