Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Dplus KIA and Hanwha Life Esports in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 26 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Dplus KIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 59%, making this a coinflip market with 1 day to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes, backed by $260K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Dplus KIA and Hanwha Life Esports will contest the League of Legends lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 26 May 2026. The winner advances to the upper bracket final; the loser is eliminated from qualification contention. The match is scheduled for 3:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-five series. Current order book activity on Polymarket implies a 56% probability that Dplus KIA prevails, reflecting modest favouritism despite both teams' recent domestic performances in the LCK regular season.
Historical precedent suggests Korean regional qualifiers typically favour established rosters with consistent scrim data and recent LCK stage experience. Dplus KIA has maintained mid-table positioning in the 2026 LCK season, whilst Hanwha Life Esports has shown variable results. The 56% implied probability sits within the range typical for matches between teams of comparable tier—neither represents a clear favourite based on seeding alone. Previous Esports World Cup qualifier lower bracket finals have often produced competitive five-game series when both teams carry similar win-loss records into playoffs.
Key variables for traders include roster availability confirmation (any last-minute substitutions would shift probability materially), recent scrim results if leaked through Korean esports media, and patch timing relative to the match date. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on 26 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for official result confirmation. Any cancellation, tie, or delay exceeding seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 26 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($260K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$91K in lifetime turnover and $260K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $91K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 26 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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