Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between DetonatioN FocusMe and Deep Cross Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win the match against Deep Cross Gaming. This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win the match against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 19% YES | 82% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 74% NO |
DetonatioN FocusMe face Deep Cross Gaming in a lower bracket first-round match of the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, with the fixture scheduled for 12 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The winner advances in the playoff bracket; the loser is eliminated. The current order book on Polymarket prices DetonatioN FocusMe at 12% implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for Deep Cross Gaming despite both teams' regional standing in the Japanese and broader Asia-Pacific League of Legends competitive landscape.
Historical precedent suggests lower bracket matches in regional qualifiers often favour teams with recent LCK or LPL exposure or those carrying momentum from group stages. DetonatioN FocusMe's placement in the lower bracket indicates an earlier elimination from upper bracket play, whilst Deep Cross Gaming's seeding relative to this fixture will determine whether they enter as favourites or underdogs by regional standards. Recent Asia-Pacific qualifier tournaments have seen Japanese representatives struggle against established Chinese and Korean contingents, though DetonatioN FocusMe has periodically demonstrated competitive performances in international windows.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 12 May, particularly regarding player availability or substitutions that could affect team cohesion. Patch notes released in the weeks preceding the match may also shift meta-dependent champion pools, affecting preparation depth for either side. Withdrawal or postponement announcements would trigger the cancellation clause; the settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playof" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $60K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $912 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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