Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Cloud9 and FlyQuest will contest a best-of-three League of Legends match during the LCS regular season on 10 May 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability favouring Cloud9, suggesting market participants view them as clear favourites in this fixture. This probability has formed through trading activity on the platform's order book, where the YES side (Cloud9 victory) commands a premium relative to the NO side.
Cloud9 have historically maintained stronger regular-season records than FlyQuest over recent LCS splits, though both organisations have experienced roster volatility. FlyQuest showed competitive form in previous seasons but have struggled to maintain consistency against top-tier opponents. The 70% probability aligns with typical market pricing for matchups where one team holds a documented advantage in win rate and head-to-head records, though best-of-three formats introduce variance that single-game markets would not capture.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or injury disclosures in the days preceding the match, as the LCS has experienced scheduling disruptions and player availability issues throughout 2026. The settlement window closes on 11 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Any match postponement exceeding seven days without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for both sides. Recent LCS broadcasts have occasionally faced technical delays, though matches have generally proceeded as scheduled.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$450K in lifetime turnover and $306K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $447K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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