Esports

Trade: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and DN SOOPers in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$27K
Total Volume
$4
24h Volume
$4
Open Interest
$4
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Match Winner 69% YES32% NO
Game 1 Winner 66% YES35% NO
Game 2 Winner 65% YES35% NO
O/U 2.5 Games 42% YES58% NO
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 51% YES49% NO
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? 50% YES51% NO
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? 51% YES49% NO
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? 50% YES51% NO

Market context

HANJIN BRION and DN SOOPers are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LCK's Rounds 1-2 on 15 May at 6:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 69% implied probability favouring HANJIN BRION's victory, as priced across Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs at 16:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with a 7-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.

HANJIN BRION enters as the favoured side, a positioning consistent with their standing as an established LCK franchise relative to DN SOOPers' status as a newer or lower-seeded competitor. Historical LCK matchups between tier-one and emerging organisations typically show favourites priced between 65–75%, suggesting the current 69% reflects standard market consensus on relative strength. The probability gap indicates traders assess meaningful but not overwhelming superiority; a BO3 format introduces variance that prevents extreme confidence in either direction.

Key catalysts for traders include roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule changes announced by the LCK. Injury reports or substitution announcements in the 48 hours before match time can shift probabilities sharply, particularly if they affect key players. Polymarket's order book will tighten significantly as match time approaches; liquidity typically concentrates in the final 12 hours. Any official LCK communication regarding postponement or cancellation would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making fixture confirmation a critical monitoring point through 15 May.

Wikipedia Context

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  • Loy Hanning

    Loy Vernon Hanning was an American Major League Baseball pitcher. He played parts of two seasons in the majors, 1939 and 1942, for the St. Louis Browns.

  • Dina Lohan
    Dina Lohan

    Donata Melina Nicolette "Dina" Lohan is an American television personality who rose to fame as the mother and manager of actress Lindsay Lohan. She is also the mother of Michael Jr., Aliana and Dakota Lohan.

  • Lindsay Lohan discography
    Lindsay Lohan discography

    American actress and singer Lindsay Lohan has released two studio albums and six singles. While acting in the Disney films Freaky Friday (2003) and Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen (2004), Lohan began recording songs for the soundtracks. In September 2002, Emilio Estefan, Jr. had signed Lohan to a five-album contract. The deal was later scrapped and Loha

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$4 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.

Last 24 hours alone saw $4 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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