Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and Team Yandex in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 7%, making this a high-confidence market resolving today, backed by $568K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
Team Spirit face Team Yandex in a Dota 2 semifinal at the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier on 30 May, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The match is scheduled for 11:30AM ET, with settlement occurring at 20:15 UTC the same day. Current order book pricing on Polymarket implies a 23% probability of Team Spirit victory, reflecting market participants' assessment of the matchup dynamics and team form heading into the qualifier.
Team Spirit represent one of the established rosters in professional Dota 2, whilst Team Yandex operates within the Russian competitive scene. Historical context suggests that matches between teams of differing competitive tiers and regional prominence often see the higher-seeded or more internationally experienced roster favoured, though qualifier formats can produce variance. The 23% implied probability for Team Spirit indicates the market is pricing them as significant underdogs relative to their opponent, a positioning that typically reflects either recent poor performance, roster changes, or perceived skill gaps in the current meta.
Traders should monitor official BLAST and Dota 2 esports channels for any schedule confirmations, roster announcements, or last-minute changes in the days preceding 30 May. Patch updates to the game client, which can shift hero viability and strategic approaches, represent a material catalyst if released close to match day. Any withdrawal or substitution announcements from either team would alter the competitive calculus substantially. The seven-day delay clause in the settlement terms means matches postponed beyond 6 June without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 30 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($568K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$735K in lifetime turnover and $568K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $735K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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