Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between GLYPH and 5 Silly Mice in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 6 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GLYPH" if GLYPH win the match against 5 Silly Mice. This market will resolve to "5 Silly Mice" if 5 Silly Mice win the match against GLYPH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs 5 Silly Mice (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
GLYPH and 5 Silly Mice are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage on 6 May at 02:00 ET. The match represents a regional qualifier fixture where both teams vie for advancement and seeding within the tournament structure. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability for GLYPH's victory, suggesting either exceptional confidence in their superiority or minimal liquidity depth at alternative price levels.
Southeast Asian Dota 2 regional competitions have historically produced volatile outcomes, with established teams occasionally faltering against emerging rosters due to meta shifts and preparation gaps. GLYPH's dominance in recent EPL fixtures provides some empirical grounding for elevated win probability, though best-of-three formats introduce variance that single-game structures eliminate. Comparable regional qualifiers in 2024–2025 have seen favourites priced above 85% occasionally settle at 60–70% when facing motivated challengers with recent roster adjustments.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation status through official ESL Pro League channels, as Southeast Asian scheduling occasionally experiences delays or relocations. Any roster changes, player availability announcements, or meta-relevant patch updates released before 6 May could shift the underlying match dynamics. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 6 May; matches delayed beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing leaves minimal margin for position entry at either outcome, reflecting either genuine certainty or thin order-book depth in this specific fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/epldota_en1. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: GLYPH vs 5 Silly Mice (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/epldota_en1. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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