Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between BetBoom Team and Vici Gaming in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 20 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against BetBoom Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $557K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
BetBoom Team meet Vici Gaming in a DreamLeague Season 29 lower-bracket best-of-three, with the match already under way on live scoreboards and the market still anchored by the Polymarket order book rather than a settled on-field result. With no live price yet, the implied probability will form from bid-offer depth, trading flow, and how participants assess recent form against map-by-map volatility in a BO3. BetBoom enter as the higher-ranked side and arrive off a strong run in recent top-tier play, including a PGL Wallachia Season 8 title, while Vici’s path has been more uneven outside their regional circuit.
For comparison, this kind of market tends to track not just team strength but the bracket context: lower-bracket elimination pressure can compress win probabilities if one side is viewed as more stable in draft execution and late-game decision-making. BetBoom’s roster has generally been priced as the more complete unit in international play, whereas Vici often need an early lead or favourable draft to compensate for variance. That makes Game 1 draft quality, lane match-ups, and whether either team can force its preferred tempo useful signals for reading the match price.
The main catalysts are straightforward: map outcomes, any pause or schedule disruption, and confirmation that the series completes within the settlement window ending 2026-05-20T19:40:00Z. Hawk Live and GosuGamers both list the series as a DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs match, starting at 13:30 UTC, which helps confirm the event identity. Traders should also watch for official ESL updates if there is a technical delay, replay ruling, or any change to the series format, since incomplete or abandoned matches can affect how the market resolves.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 20 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($557K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.6M in lifetime turnover and $557K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2.6M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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