Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between paiN and FaZe in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against FaZe. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
paiN Gaming and FaZe Clan are scheduled to meet in the Upper bracket quarterfinal of IEM Atlanta's Group A on 11 May at 16:30 UTC. The best-of-three match represents a significant test for both organisations within one of Counter-Strike's premier international tournaments. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 35% implied probability for paiN's victory, suggesting the market views FaZe as the favoured side despite paiN's recent performances in regional competition.
Historical matchups between these teams provide context for the pricing. FaZe has maintained a stronger record against top-tier opposition over the past eighteen months, with their roster stability and international experience typically translating to consistent results in high-stakes tournaments. paiN, whilst competitive in South American circuits and capable of upsets, has faced inconsistency when facing European powerhouses. The 65-35 split in FaZe's favour aligns with conventional strength assessments, though paiN's map pool flexibility occasionally generates closer contests than raw rankings suggest.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute scheduling changes through official IEM channels, as both teams occasionally field different lineups for group stages versus knockout rounds. Recent form data from regional qualifiers and warm-up matches in the week preceding the event will provide the most relevant signals. Equipment or technical issues affecting either team's preparation could shift the order book, though such disruptions rarely materialise at established venues. The settlement window closes at 21:30 UTC on 11 May, allowing approximately five hours post-match for resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$203K in lifetime turnover and $216K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $180K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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