Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between FaZe and Vitality in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FaZe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
FaZe Clan and Team Vitality are scheduled to compete in the lower bracket semifinal of IEM Atlanta's Group A on 13 May at 11:30 AM ET. The match will be played as a best-of-three series, with the winner advancing further in the tournament bracket. The current order book on Polymarket prices FaZe's victory at approximately 11%, implying Vitality are heavily favoured at around 89% implied probability.
Vitality have maintained stronger recent form in tier-one Counter-Strike competition, with consistent placements at major tournaments throughout 2025 and 2026. FaZe, whilst capable, have shown inconsistency against top-tier opposition and have struggled in several recent LAN environments. Historical matchups between these sides over the past eighteen months favour Vitality, though FaZe's ceiling remains high when their core players perform. The 11% probability reflects FaZe's underdog status but acknowledges their potential to upset if conditions align.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as both organisations occasionally field adjusted rosters for regional events. Tournament scheduling updates from ESL or official IEM channels will confirm whether the match proceeds as scheduled or faces delays. Individual player form leading into the event—particularly FaZe's primary riflers and in-game leaders—will provide real-time signals about confidence levels. Any announcements regarding player availability or technical issues should be tracked closely, as these could shift the probability substantially before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.4M in lifetime turnover and $1.2M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.4M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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