Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between BetBoom Team and Natus Vincere in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against BetBoom Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $683K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | — | |
| Match Winner | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 1% NO |
BetBoom Team face Natus Vincere in an IEM Atlanta playoff semi-final BO3, with the market currently pricing BetBoom at 28% and Na’Vi as the clear favourite. On Polymarket, that implied probability is being formed continuously from the order book rather than a fixed sportsbook line, so the price can move sharply if traders react to lineup news, veto expectations, or changes to the match schedule. At this stage, a sub-30% read usually signals that the crowd expects Na’Vi’s deeper map pool and higher-tier LAN pedigree to matter over a short series, while still leaving scope for an upset if BetBoom gain momentum on their best maps.
For comparable read-throughs, markets on underdog teams in top-tier CS2 playoffs tend to stay compressed until vetoes or live series information favour the outsider, because BO3 formats reduce randomness but still leave room for map-specific edges. BetBoom’s path to an upset is typically narrower if Na’Vi secure their comfort picks and avoid a scrappy decider, whereas any sign of Na’Vi instability can quickly lift the underdog price. The main catalysts to watch are official start-time confirmation, any roster or illness update, and whether the semi-final remains attached to the published IEM Atlanta schedule; a delay, cancellation, or unresolved abandonment scenario would change settlement rather than simply the winner odds. The current market page indicates the match is the semifinal between BetBoom Team and Natus Vincere in the IEM Atlanta playoffs, initially scheduled for 16 May at 1:15pm ET.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 17 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Disputed resolutions are rare — fewer than 0.5% of PolyGram markets in 2026 to date — and even rarer for events with clear, verifiable resolution sources.
Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. From there, withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Your slippage tolerance and the depth of resting limit orders determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.5M in lifetime turnover and $683K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.5M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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