Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 9INE and Walczaki in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9INE" if 9INE win the match against Walczaki. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against 9INE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A Round of 16 Counter-Strike match between 9INE and Walczaki forms part of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, scheduled for 8 May at 04:00 ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with settlement determined by outright victory. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for 9INE, suggesting the market has priced them as heavy underdogs or that liquidity remains sparse at the current moment.
The BC Game Masters Europe Series represents a regional tournament structure with limited historical precedent for direct comparison. Walczaki's positioning as the implied favourite aligns with typical market behaviour when one team enters playoffs with stronger recent form or higher ranking within European competitive Counter-Strike. However, the extreme probability reading warrants caution—such edges often reflect thin liquidity rather than genuine conviction, particularly in niche esports matchups where trading volume concentrates unevenly.
Key variables for traders include official confirmation of team rosters and any last-minute roster changes, which can materially shift competitive balance. The tournament's scheduling and bracket progression should be monitored through official BC Game Masters channels, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Player availability, recent map pool performance, and head-to-head records between these specific rosters provide substantive data points. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 8 May, creating a tight window for resolution once the match concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$105K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $78K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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