Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between 3DMAX and Liquid in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 20 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against 3DMAX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 56%, making this a coinflip market with 1 day to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes, backed by $263K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
3DMAX and Liquid are due to meet in a best-of-three lower-bracket quarter-final at CS Asia Championships Group B, with the market initially set for late 20 May. Polymarket’s order book is showing an implied probability of about 56% for Liquid, which means the market is pricing them as a modest favourite rather than a clear one. That kind of number typically reflects a narrow edge on maps and veto rather than a strong mismatch, especially in a BO3 where one side can still win through preparation and a favourable pick even if the overall team strength is close.
Recent comparable form matters here because these sides have already met in high-level CS2 play. 3DMAX beat Liquid 2-0 in April 2026, which is a relevant reference point for how the veto can land when the teams are paired again. The broader CS Asia Championships record also shows this is not a one-sided rivalry: Liquid reached the latter stages of the 2025 event, including a semi-final meeting with 3DMAX, so the matchup has recent tournament history rather than being a first-look contest. For traders, the key question is whether the market is anchoring too much to Liquid’s brand and depth, or correctly discounting 3DMAX’s recent head-to-head edge.
The main catalysts are simple: final match scheduling, any late bracket changes, and the confirmed map veto once it is published. Because the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played or is materially delayed, any official announcement about timing or venue matters for settlement risk as well as team strength. With the settlement window ending on 21 May, a postponement would be market-relevant even if it is only temporary. Recent tournament reporting from Liquipedia and event pages indicates the fixture is part of the CS Asia Championships schedule, so any update from the organiser or broadcast feed is likely to move the book faster than general team news.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 21 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/pgl), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($263K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$193K in lifetime turnover and $263K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $193K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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