Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Cameroon and Mali scheduled for May 29 2026 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali - Who wins the toss? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Cameroon and Mali will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier match on 29 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this as a certainty event. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one outcome dominates available information or when liquidity remains sparse in early-stage markets for lower-profile fixtures.
African cricket qualifier tournaments have historically featured significant uncertainty around team participation, squad availability, and venue confirmations. Cameroon and Mali both operate as emerging cricket nations with limited international T20 infrastructure, making their competitive positioning difficult to assess through conventional metrics. Previous ICC regional qualifiers have seen last-minute withdrawals, administrative delays, and fixture rescheduling. The settlement window closing on 5 June 2026 provides a narrow window post-match for ESPN Cricinfo publication of final results, which serves as the resolution source.
Traders should monitor ICC Africa announcements regarding squad confirmations and any fixture schedule changes through May 2026. Visa complications, funding constraints, or administrative issues have previously affected participation in African cricket qualifiers. The absence of recent competitive data between these nations means the current 100% probability likely reflects either incomplete market information or illiquidity rather than genuine certainty about match outcome. Any news regarding team withdrawals, venue changes, or squad roster announcements would materially shift pricing in this market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$47K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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