Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Bangladesh and New Zealand scheduled for 2026-04-29 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if Bangladesh is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than New Zealand.The outcome corresponding to New Zealand will be considered correct if New Zealand is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bangladesh. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| BGD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| NZL | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bangladesh and New Zealand will contest a T20 match on 29 April 2026 as part of the bilateral T20 Series in Bangladesh. The market resolves based on which team strikes more sixes during the encounter, with settlement occurring on 6 May 2026 following official ESPN Cricinfo statistics. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Bangladesh hitting more sixes, suggesting the market is pricing New Zealand as the overwhelming favourite to win the six-hitting metric.
Historically, New Zealand's T20 batting units have demonstrated greater six-hitting frequency than Bangladesh across comparable bilateral series. In recent T20 encounters between these nations, New Zealand batsmen have consistently out-struck their counterparts, reflecting both superior batting depth and a more aggressive middle-order approach. Bangladesh's T20 strategy typically emphasises controlled accumulation over explosive stroke-play, particularly in home conditions where pitch behaviour can favour restraint. The current 0% probability reflects this established pattern rather than any specific match-day intelligence.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and recent form in the weeks preceding 29 April. New Zealand's availability of key power-hitters and Bangladesh's selection decisions will influence six-hitting potential. Pitch reports from the venue and weather forecasts closer to match day will affect batting conditions. Recent T20 series results involving either team, particularly any shifts in tactical approach or personnel changes, warrant attention as potential catalysts for repricing the market before the settlement window closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$467 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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