Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual who wins the award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (German) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dirk Bublies as Kogoro Mori (Detective Conan: One—eyed Flashback) | 17% YES | 84% NO |
| Gerrit Schmidt—Foß as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Laurine Betz as Reze (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Magdalena Höfner as Kiui Watase (Jellyfish Can't Swim in the Night) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Markus Feustel as Rudo (Gachiakuta) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Patricia Strasburger as Nico Wakatsuki (WITCH WATCH) | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Person A | — | |
| Person B | — | |
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards ceremony takes place on 23 May 2026 in Japan, with the Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (German) category recognising outstanding dubbing work in German-language anime productions. The current order book on Polymarket prices this specific winner at 16% implied probability, reflecting substantial uncertainty about which voice actor will claim the award among the eligible field.
German-language anime dubbing represents a smaller market segment compared to English or Japanese voice acting recognition, which contextualises the relatively modest probability. Historical Crunchyroll Awards voting patterns show that German dubbing categories typically receive lower nomination volumes and voter engagement than mainstream categories, though the awards have expanded their international recognition categories in recent years. The 16% price suggests the market is pricing in meaningful competition from multiple candidates rather than a clear frontrunner, consistent with how niche dubbing categories typically distribute votes across several qualified performers.
Key catalysts for traders include the official announcement of nominees, expected several months before the May ceremony, and any industry coverage of German anime dubbing in 2025–2026. The resolution mechanism specifies alphabetical ordering in case of ties or no declared winner by 30 June 2026, which introduces minor technical risk. Traders should monitor Crunchyroll's official communications and German anime industry publications for nomination details, as these will substantially narrow the probability distribution once the candidate field becomes known.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (German) Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$60 in lifetime turnover and $421 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for anime contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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