Trade: Anime Awards: Best Anime Song Winner
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the award for Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Total Volume
- $6K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $2K
Market outcomes
| "In Bloom" by Lilas Ikuta (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| "JANE DOE" by Kenshi Yonezu and Hikaru Utada (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Song B | — | |
| Song F | — | |
| Song I | — | |
| "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) | 84% YES | 16% NO |
| "On The Way" by AiNA THE END (DAN DA DAN Season 2) | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| "ReawakeR (feat. Felix of Stray Kids)" by LiSA (Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-) | 6% YES | 94% NO |
Market context
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards ceremony will take place in Japan on 23 May 2026, with the Best Anime Song category representing one of the platform's flagship accolades. The award recognises excellence in anime soundtrack composition and performance, drawing from songs featured across series that aired during the eligibility window. Settlement depends on official declaration by the ceremony broadcast and Crunchyroll's website confirmation; should no winner be declared by 30 June 2026, alphabetical ordering determines resolution.
The current 8% implied probability reflects substantial uncertainty inherent to this market class. Historical Crunchyroll Awards voting patterns show competitive Best Anime Song categories with winners often emerging from commercially successful series rather than critical darlings alone. Comparable entertainment prediction markets typically see niche award categories trade at single-digit probabilities when specific outcomes are listed individually, as voter preferences remain genuinely difficult to forecast months ahead of ceremonies. The fragmented nature of anime fandom—split across regions, platforms and demographic cohorts—compounds this uncertainty relative to more consolidated voting bodies.
Key catalysts include the official announcement of eligible songs, typically released two to three months before the ceremony, and any public voting phase Crunchyroll implements. Industry momentum matters: anime series gaining streaming prominence or critical recognition between now and May 2026 will influence which songs enter voter consciousness. Crunchyroll's own promotional decisions and international expansion strategies may also shape which soundtracks receive platform visibility. The order book's current pricing suggests traders view this listed song as a longer-odds contender relative to anticipated frontrunners.
Wikipedia Context
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Crunchyroll Anime AwardsThe Crunchyroll Anime Awards, also known simply as The Anime Awards, are awards given annually by the anime streaming service Crunchyroll to recognize the best anime of the previous year. Announced in December 2016, the awards were first presented in January 2017. Crunchyroll describes it as a "global event that recognizes the anime shows, characters, and ar
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Annie AwardsThe Annie Awards are accolades which the Los Angeles branch of the International Animated Film Association, ASIFA-Hollywood, has presented each year since 1972 to recognize excellence in animation shown in American cinema and television. Originally designed to celebrate lifetime or career contributions to animation, the award has been given to individual wor
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Annie Awards for Special Achievement in Animation
This is the list of recipients for the Annie Award for Special Achievement in Animation, given by the Board of Directors of ASIFA-Hollywood for "unique and outstanding achievement in animation not recognized in other Annie Award categories."
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Annie Awards for Best Limited Series
The Annie Award for Best Limited Series is an Annie Award given annually to the best animated television limited series, the category was first presented at the 50th Annie Awards.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Anime Song Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$6K in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for anime contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Anime Awards: Best Anime Song Winner"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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