Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Geoff Duncan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Derrick Jackson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ruwa Romman | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Other | — | |
| Candidate B | — | |
| Candidate D | — | |
| Candidate F | — | |
| Candidate H | — | |
Georgia's Democratic Party will hold a gubernatorial primary on 19 May 2026 to select its nominee for the state's top executive office. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES resolution—indicating a Democratic primary actually occurs and produces a winner—at approximately 1%, suggesting traders assess a 99% probability that either no primary takes place or the market resolves to "Other" under the specified conditions.
Historical precedent offers limited direct comparison. Georgia held a competitive Democratic gubernatorial primary in 2022, won by Stacey Abrams, though she ultimately lost the general election to Republican Brian Kemp. The extremely low probability here likely reflects uncertainty about whether the Democratic Party will even conduct a contested primary in 2026, given that sitting Governor Kemp (Republican) would be term-limited. If no major Democratic candidate emerges or if the party consolidates behind a single nominee without a primary process, the market would resolve to "Other" rather than YES.
Traders monitoring this market should track formal candidate announcements from the Georgia Democratic Party and prospective nominees throughout 2025 and early 2026. Key catalysts include the party's official primary schedule confirmation, major candidate declarations, and any consolidation signals suggesting a unified nominee strategy. The settlement window closes on the primary date itself, meaning real-time reporting from the Georgia Democratic Party or overwhelming consensus from credible news outlets will determine final resolution. Until substantive candidate activity emerges, the current 1% pricing reflects the baseline scepticism that a genuine multi-candidate primary will materialise.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram political event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$280K in lifetime turnover and $105K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for politics contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 5 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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