This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
Trade on the latest odds for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026? on PolyGram, a prediction market platform where you can buy and sell outcome shares. Current market prices reflect the crowd's real-time probability estimate for this event.
Market outcomes
| 120-139 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| 140-159 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| 20-39 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 40-59 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| 100-119 | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| 160-179 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| <20 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 180-199 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Polymarket settles political markets from authoritative sources — Associated Press race calls for US elections, the relevant electoral commission for national votes, and the UMA optimistic oracle for contested or ambiguous resolutions. Prices you see are probabilities derived from thousands of traders deploying real capital; they update in real time as new polls, debates, endorsements and news hit the tape. PolyGram surfaces the same order book with an email-first login and USDC settlement on Polygon.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
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