Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Lee Zeldin | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Todd Blanche | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| Jeff Clark | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Ken Paxton | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Matt Gaetz | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Ron DeSantis | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Jeanine Pirro | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Mike Lee | 44% YES | 56% NO |
Donald Trump will need to formally announce his selection for Attorney General during his presidency. The role requires Senate confirmation and typically represents one of the earliest cabinet announcements a president makes, given the Justice Department's prominence. The market resolves upon Trump's explicit announcement of a specific individual as his pick, regardless of whether formal nomination proceedings or confirmation subsequently occur.
Historical precedent suggests Attorney General announcements arrive within weeks of a presidential transition. Trump's first term saw Jeff Sessions announced in November 2016, before inauguration. The current 53% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about both the timing and identity of the nominee. Comparable markets on other cabinet positions have shown that early-term announcements typically resolve within the first 100 days of a presidency, though Trump has occasionally deviated from conventional timelines. The extended settlement window through end-2026 accommodates scenarios where announcement delays occur.
Traders should monitor Trump's public statements, transition team communications, and reporting from outlets covering cabinet formation. Recent reporting has identified several potential candidates with varying levels of proximity to Trump's inner circle. The announcement catalyst could arrive during press conferences, social media posts, or formal transition events. Senate scheduling and confirmation hearing dates, once announced, would indicate imminent nomination activity. Any explicit statement from Trump or his designated representatives naming a specific individual as his Attorney General choice would trigger resolution, making close attention to official communications essential for tracking this market's outcome.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?" are the same as any other PolyGram political event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for politics contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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