Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market tracks whether the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token price will be higher or equal at 1:25AM ET on 31 May 2026 compared to its level at 1:20AM ET that same morning, using Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream as the settlement source. The five-minute window captures intraday volatility in a relatively young token that launched in 2024 as a decentralised exchange platform. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 0% implied probability for an upward move, indicating strong market consensus for a price decline or flat movement during this specific interval.
Five-minute price movements in crypto tokens typically correlate with broader market momentum, exchange order flow imbalances, and liquidation cascades on leveraged trading platforms. Historical precedent suggests that ultra-short windows on low-liquidity assets often resolve downward when positioned this way, though Hyperliquid's integration into major exchange infrastructure has improved price stability relative to earlier-stage tokens. The 0% probability reading on Polymarket's order book may reflect either genuine conviction about downward pressure or illiquidity in this particular contract, making the distinction between true market belief and thin order depth material for traders evaluating entry points.
Traders should monitor Hyperliquid's perpetual futures funding rates and open interest levels in the hours preceding the settlement window, as extreme leverage conditions can trigger sharp reversals. Broader cryptocurrency market movements—particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum price action—typically drive correlated moves in layer-one and infrastructure tokens. Any announcements regarding Hyperliquid's protocol upgrades or exchange feature releases would represent the primary catalyst for directional conviction during the settlement period.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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