Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Havlickova and Yasmine Kabbaj in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Havlickova' if Lucie Havlickova advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Lucie Havlickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Lucie Havlickova and Yasmine Kabbaj are scheduled to meet in a tennis match at Makarska on 3 June 2026, with the market currently pricing Havlickova's advancement at 65% on Polymarket's order book. The 6:30 AM ET start time reflects the European venue, and settlement closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day window for completion. The current implied probability reflects modest confidence in Havlickova, suggesting the market perceives a meaningful but not dominant advantage.
Havlickova, a Czech player, has competed primarily on the ITF Women's Circuit and lower-tier WTA events, whilst Kabbaj, Moroccan-born, has similarly operated at ITF and developmental tour levels. Direct head-to-head records between players at this tier are often sparse or non-existent, making recent form and surface-specific performance critical to assessing the 65% figure. Comparable matches between players of equivalent ranking typically show tighter probability distributions unless one player has demonstrable recent momentum or surface expertise.
Traders should monitor entry lists and any official tournament updates from the Makarska event organisers, as scheduling changes or withdrawals remain common at lower-tier events. Weather conditions at the Croatian coastal venue in early June could affect match timing. Injury announcements or late player withdrawals in the week preceding 3 June would be the primary catalyst shifting the current order book; absent such developments, the 65–35 split reflects baseline form assessment between two players with limited public comparative data.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $13K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $30 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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