Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kacper Szymkowiak and Alexandr Binda in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Szymkowiak' if Kacper Szymkowiak advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Kacper Szymkowiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Alexandr Binda | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kacper Szymkowiak, a Polish ITF competitor, faces Alexandr Binda in the men's draw at the ITF Tsaghkadzor tournament scheduled for 29 May 2026. The match is set for 3:30 AM ET, reflecting the Armenian venue's time zone. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Szymkowiak's advancement, suggesting either minimal liquidity or strong conviction amongst early traders that Binda will prevail. Settlement occurs on 5 June 2026, allowing a week for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 split.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 500, with outcomes heavily dependent on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Szymkowiak and Binda's previous encounters, if any exist, would be documented in ATP or ITF databases and should inform baseline expectations. The 0% probability reading likely reflects either Binda's superior recent results or established dominance in prior meetings, though such extreme pricing on lower-tier matches often indicates thin order books rather than certainty.
Traders monitoring this match should track any official tournament updates from the ITF or Armenian tennis federation regarding scheduling confirmations, player withdrawals, or surface conditions. Injury announcements or late withdrawals in the days before 29 May would materially shift probabilities. The unusual 3:30 AM ET start time may affect liquidity and information flow amongst Western traders, creating potential mispricings if either player's form shifts unexpectedly.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Alexandr Binda" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: